Economies

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Inflation as PCE for Clue of Biz Cycle of US ...

The Federal Reserve uses Personal Consumption Expenditure or PCE for inflation insight. The chart shows PCE ( source Trimmed at ...
Economies

Interest Rate Super-Cycle

Super Long-term: A super-cycle bull market in rates occurred from 1946 to 1980. A related bear market from 1980 is ...
EconomiesStock Markets

Scenarios for the Long-Term

PR Analysis Long-term: Scenario 1: Market bottomed for the 3yr business cycle in Jan 2018 or bottoms Jan-Apr 2019. (Consider ...
EconomiesStock Markets

$2 trillion rout in the stock market-

As the SP500 neared the low of November the media suggested as much as a two trillion dollar rout in ...
Economies

Unemployment in Target Zone Warns of Change

The behavior of unemployment warns of a coming recession. US unemployment rate has fallen from a correct model signal made ...
Economies

US unemployment slips to lowest rate since 1969

The Jobs Report published Oct 5 for September showed only 134,000 jobs created. Well below expectations. However, the unemployment rate ...
Economies

Slower Global Economy?

The JP Morgan Global Manufacturing PMI published by Markit.com showed a continuation of a slowing pace of growth in September. ...